Circulation in Comorin sea will be bringing moisture-filled easterlies for Coastal Tamilnadu to get rains. Though the majority is for South Coastal (Nagai-Ramnad belt). Very less chance but there every Possibility of Chennai rains to happen during Early morning. If it all we get Anything it's a bonus. No halt for Evening Thunderstorms rains in South TN and Kerala
Broad circulation UAC near Comorin sea and another one near Andaman. The Andaman one is Namma next target which I posted about a few days back. It will intensify into low-pressure in the next two days.
But from there is the twist Remember the location South Andaman once again which is an unfavourable location for TN to bring any Strong Systems. Strong ah weak will decide our fate. Models runs are much inconsistent some showing Cyclone status. So we need to wait until the low forms.
No strong MJO in our basin for the next few days and a lot other factors don't look supportive for Cyclone as of now. Hope mostly a weak low will get pushed close to Tamilnadu coast.
Also, This system will trigger Southwest Monsoon onset over Andaman by bringing Cross-Equatorial flow.
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